NGpoliticsDraft
Which party will win the most Senate seats in the 2027 election?
75.9% All Progressives Congress (APC)
ODU consensus from 9 venue markets on 2 venues, updated 56 minutes ago (2026-11-05 21:58 WAT). Method lwlop-v1 · thin liquidity
- All Progressives Congress (APC)75.9%
- Peoples Democratic Party (PDP)13.0%
- African Democratic Congress (ADC)7.0%
- Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC)3.2%
- Labour Party (LP)0.6%
- New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP)0.3%
- Other party0.0%
Venues
- kalshiapc81.5%21:57
- kalshilp2.1%21:57
- kalshipdp14.5%21:57
- polymarketlp0.2%21:58
- polymarketnnpp0.4%21:58
- polymarketndc3.3%21:58
- polymarketpdp12.4%21:58
- polymarketadc7.2%21:58
- polymarketapc77.5%21:58
Venue quotes are what each venue showed at the time, not ODU's view. Method prices-v1
Last 24 hours, All Progressives Congress (APC)
Resolution
Resolves to the party with the most members declared elected by INEC to the 109 seats of the chamber at the 2027 National Assembly election, counting all declarations made by the resolve-by time (including supplementary and re-run elections concluded by then). A tie resolves to "Other party". Post-declaration defections and litigation do not change the result.
- Closes
- 2027-01-16 00:00 WAT
- Resolves by
- 2027-02-28 23:59 WAT
- Version
- 1