NGpoliticsDraft
Which party will win the most House of Representatives seats in the 2027 election?
54.3% All Progressives Congress (APC)
ODU consensus from 6 venue markets on 1 venue, updated 1 hour ago (2026-11-05 21:53 WAT). Method lwlop-v1 · thin liquidity
- All Progressives Congress (APC)54.3%
- Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC)17.8%
- Labour Party (LP)12.1%
- Peoples Democratic Party (PDP)10.0%
- African Democratic Congress (ADC)4.8%
- New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP)1.0%
- Other party0.0%
Venues
- polymarketnnpp1.4%21:58
- polymarketlp16.4%21:58
- polymarketapc73.5%21:58
- polymarketpdp13.5%21:58
- polymarketadc6.5%21:58
- polymarketndc24.1%21:58
Venue quotes are what each venue showed at the time, not ODU's view. Method prices-v1
Last 24 hours, All Progressives Congress (APC)
Resolution
Resolves to the party with the most members declared elected by INEC to the 360 seats of the chamber at the 2027 National Assembly election, counting all declarations made by the resolve-by time (including supplementary and re-run elections concluded by then). A tie resolves to "Other party". Post-declaration defections and litigation do not change the result.
- Closes
- 2027-01-16 00:00 WAT
- Resolves by
- 2027-02-28 23:59 WAT
- Version
- 1