NGpoliticsDraft
Who will win the 2027 Plateau State governorship election?
79.5% Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh
ODU consensus from 5 venue markets on 1 venue, updated 56 minutes ago (2026-11-05 21:58 WAT). Method lwlop-v1 · thin liquidity
- Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh79.5%
- Kefas Ropshik14.4%
- John Sunday Sura3.7%
- Margaret Inusa Yahaya1.9%
- Sunday Garba Biggs0.5%
- Any other candidate0.0%
Venues
- polymarketmutfwang-caleb-manasseh81.5%21:58
- polymarketkefas-ropshik14.8%21:58
- polymarketjohn-sunday-sura3.8%21:58
- polymarketmargaret-inusa-yahaya1.9%21:58
- polymarketsunday-garba-biggs0.5%21:58
Venue quotes are what each venue showed at the time, not ODU's view. Method prices-v1
Last 24 hours, Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh
Resolution
Resolves to the candidate the INEC State Returning Officer declares winner of the Plateau State governorship election scheduled for 6 February 2027. If the election in Plateau is postponed or declared inconclusive, the question stays open until a winner is declared, with the close time moved by a versioned edit. A court-ordered re-run before a declaration counts toward the same question; litigation after the declaration does not change the result. Candidates not listed resolve to "Any other candidate". Candidate names follow the venue listings and must be checked against INEC's final list of candidates.
- Closes
- 2027-02-06 00:00 WAT
- Resolves by
- 2027-02-20 23:59 WAT
- Version
- 1