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NGpoliticsDraft

Who will win the 2027 Ogun State governorship election?

74.6% Solomon Olamilekan Adeola

74.6% Solomon Olamilekan Adeola

ODU consensus from 6 venue markets on 1 venue, updated 56 minutes ago (2026-11-05 21:58 WAT). Method lwlop-v1 · thin liquidity

  • Solomon Olamilekan Adeola74.6%
  • Adekunle Adenuga8.1%
  • Rotimi Babajide5.9%
  • Bolaji Odusina4.6%
  • Oladipupo Adebutu3.6%
  • Biodun Ogundipe3.1%
  • Any other candidate0.0%

Venues

  • polymarketbolaji-odusina4.7%21:58
  • polymarketbiodun-ogundipe3.2%21:58
  • polymarketsolomon-olamilekan-adeola76.0%21:58
  • polymarketadekunle-adenuga8.3%21:58
  • polymarketoladipupo-adebutu3.7%21:58
  • polymarketrotimi-babajide6.0%21:58

Venue quotes are what each venue showed at the time, not ODU's view. Method prices-v1

Last 24 hours, Solomon Olamilekan Adeola

0%25%50%75%100%22:5404:5410:5416:5422:54
ODU consensuspolymarket

Resolution

Resolves to the candidate the INEC State Returning Officer declares winner of the Ogun State governorship election scheduled for 6 February 2027. If the election in Ogun is postponed or declared inconclusive, the question stays open until a winner is declared, with the close time moved by a versioned edit. A court-ordered re-run before a declaration counts toward the same question; litigation after the declaration does not change the result. Candidates not listed resolve to "Any other candidate". Candidate names follow the venue listings and must be checked against INEC's final list of candidates.

Closes
2027-02-06 00:00 WAT
Resolves by
2027-02-20 23:59 WAT
Version
1

Resolution sources, in order

  1. INEC (Independent National Electoral Commission)
  2. INEC Ogun State office (Resident Electoral Commissioner declaration)
  3. INEC Result Viewing Portal (IReV)
  4. Premium Times
  5. Channels Television