NGpoliticsDraft
Who will win the 2027 Lagos State governorship election?
79.0% Obafemi Hamzat
ODU consensus from 6 venue markets on 1 venue, updated 41 minutes ago (2026-11-05 22:13 WAT). Method lwlop-v1 · thin liquidity
- Obafemi Hamzat79.0%
- Any other candidate16.9%
- Adedeji Doherty1.8%
- Rhodes-Vivour Gbadebo Patrick1.6%
- Adeyemi Abiola Roseline0.4%
- Oluwadamola Adesoca Sol Nuyi0.3%
- Naheem Balogun0.2%
Venues
- polymarketoluwadamola-adesoca-sol-nuyi0.3%22:20
- polymarketadedeji-doherty1.8%22:20
- polymarketobafemi-hamzat79.0%22:20
- polymarketadeyemi-abiola-roseline0.4%22:20
- polymarketrhodes-vivour-gbadebo-patrick1.6%22:20
- polymarketnaheem-balogun0.2%22:20
Venue quotes are what each venue showed at the time, not ODU's view. Method prices-v1
Last 24 hours, Obafemi Hamzat
Resolution
Resolves to the candidate the INEC State Returning Officer declares winner of the Lagos State governorship election scheduled for 6 February 2027. If the election in Lagos is postponed or declared inconclusive, the question stays open until a winner is declared, with the close time moved by a versioned edit. A court-ordered re-run before a declaration counts toward the same question; litigation after the declaration does not change the result. Candidates not listed resolve to "Any other candidate". Candidate names follow the venue listings and must be checked against INEC's final list of candidates.
- Closes
- 2027-02-06 00:00 WAT
- Resolves by
- 2027-02-20 23:59 WAT
- Version
- 1