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NGpoliticsDraft

Who will win the 2027 Kano State governorship election?

42.5% Abba Kabir Yusuf

42.5% Abba Kabir Yusuf

ODU consensus from 4 venue markets on 1 venue, updated 39 minutes ago (2026-11-05 22:15 WAT). Method lwlop-v1 · thin liquidity

  • Abba Kabir Yusuf42.5%
  • Any other candidate28.9%
  • Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo17.0%
  • Mohammad Raji8.3%
  • Muhammad Bello Dalhatu3.4%

Venues

  • polymarketmuhammad-bello-dalhatu3.4%22:20
  • polymarketabba-kabir-yusuf42.5%22:20
  • polymarketaminu-abdussalam-gwarzo17.0%22:20
  • polymarketmohammad-raji8.3%22:20

Venue quotes are what each venue showed at the time, not ODU's view. Method prices-v1

Last 24 hours, Abba Kabir Yusuf

0%25%50%75%100%22:5404:5410:5416:5422:54
ODU consensuspolymarket

Resolution

Resolves to the candidate the INEC State Returning Officer declares winner of the Kano State governorship election scheduled for 6 February 2027. If the election in Kano is postponed or declared inconclusive, the question stays open until a winner is declared, with the close time moved by a versioned edit. A court-ordered re-run before a declaration counts toward the same question; litigation after the declaration does not change the result. Candidates not listed resolve to "Any other candidate". Candidate names follow the venue listings and must be checked against INEC's final list of candidates.

Closes
2027-02-06 00:00 WAT
Resolves by
2027-02-20 23:59 WAT
Version
1

Resolution sources, in order

  1. INEC (Independent National Electoral Commission)
  2. INEC Kano State office (Resident Electoral Commissioner declaration)
  3. INEC Result Viewing Portal (IReV)
  4. Premium Times
  5. Channels Television