NGpoliticsDraft
Who will win the 2027 Kaduna State governorship election?
62.5% Uba Sani
ODU consensus from 6 venue markets on 1 venue, updated 34 minutes ago (2026-11-05 22:20 WAT). Method lwlop-v1 · thin liquidity
- Uba Sani62.5%
- Any other candidate13.5%
- Mohammed Ashiru Isa12.0%
- Shehu Bawa8.4%
- Danjuma Laah2.9%
- Aminu Abdulfatah0.5%
- Auwal Tafoki0.1%
Venues
- polymarketmohammed-ashiru-isa12.0%22:20
- polymarketdanjuma-laah2.9%22:20
- polymarketuba-sani62.5%22:20
- polymarketaminu-abdulfatah0.5%22:20
- polymarketauwal-tafoki0.1%22:20
- polymarketshehu-bawa8.4%22:20
Venue quotes are what each venue showed at the time, not ODU's view. Method prices-v1
Last 24 hours, Uba Sani
Resolution
Resolves to the candidate the INEC State Returning Officer declares winner of the Kaduna State governorship election scheduled for 6 February 2027. If the election in Kaduna is postponed or declared inconclusive, the question stays open until a winner is declared, with the close time moved by a versioned edit. A court-ordered re-run before a declaration counts toward the same question; litigation after the declaration does not change the result. Candidates not listed resolve to "Any other candidate". Candidate names follow the venue listings and must be checked against INEC's final list of candidates.
- Closes
- 2027-02-06 00:00 WAT
- Resolves by
- 2027-02-20 23:59 WAT
- Version
- 1