NGpoliticsDraft
Who will win the 2027 Borno State governorship election?
71.5% Mustapha Gubio
ODU consensus from 3 venue markets on 1 venue, updated 37 minutes ago (2026-11-05 22:17 WAT). Method lwlop-v1 · thin liquidity
- Mustapha Gubio71.5%
- Babagana Buhari18.3%
- Any other candidate8.1%
- Ibrahim Abba Gana2.1%
Venues
- polymarketibrahim-abba-gana2.1%22:20
- polymarketmustapha-gubio71.5%22:20
- polymarketbabagana-buhari18.3%22:20
Venue quotes are what each venue showed at the time, not ODU's view. Method prices-v1
Last 24 hours, Mustapha Gubio
Resolution
Resolves to the candidate the INEC State Returning Officer declares winner of the Borno State governorship election scheduled for 6 February 2027. If the election in Borno is postponed or declared inconclusive, the question stays open until a winner is declared, with the close time moved by a versioned edit. A court-ordered re-run before a declaration counts toward the same question; litigation after the declaration does not change the result. Candidates not listed resolve to "Any other candidate". Candidate names follow the venue listings and must be checked against INEC's final list of candidates.
- Closes
- 2027-02-06 00:00 WAT
- Resolves by
- 2027-02-20 23:59 WAT
- Version
- 1